Midwestern and Rocky Mountain facilities are currently operating at 100% capacity, pushing the national average toward historic highs. Despite a marginal build in commercial oil stocks last week, inventories remain 6% below the five-year average. Meanwhile, reserves at the Cushing hub and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve languish at multi-year and four-decade lows, respectively.
Rising wholesale diesel futures—up 26% this month—signal the intensity of the current supply crunch. Global refining margins for gasoline and diesel have climbed to record peaks as Russia’s export bans and Middle Eastern hostilities disrupt traditional trade routes. Asian refiners, previously expecting a steady influx of crude, now face delivery delays that threaten to derail production schedules and exacerbate an already fragile global supply chain.
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