Silver’s recent price decline, which saw it drop over 22% in the second quarter, was driven by aggressive rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and a strengthening U.S. dollar. Wong describes the resulting waterfall-style selling as a capitulation event, fueled by an exodus of over-leveraged options traders who had pushed the metal into meme-stock territory. With open interest now returning to historical norms, the metal is shedding its short-term speculative froth.
Beyond the volatility, the long-term outlook remains defined by a persistent structural supply gap. Silver has run deficits for nearly a decade, and with few major mining projects in the pipeline, supply remains inelastic. This scarcity is compounded by secular growth trends, including solar panel manufacturing, electric vehicle production, and the expansion of AI infrastructure and data centers. As industrial demand consumes a larger share of global output, the metal is becoming increasingly essential, which Wong expects will establish a higher price floor over time. Additionally, as physical ownership gains traction in Asian markets, the influence of paper-market pricing mechanisms may eventually wane, leaving the commodity to be driven more by its genuine scarcity and its dual role as both an industrial input and a monetary hedge.

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